Looking For Signs in ’24

Two hot wars where our support is needed to sustain our friends, an out-of-control border, rising crime, the continuing crisis in education, and declining disposable income for many Americans are some of the continuing problems we enter 2024. Add an election appearing to feature two Presidential candidates few want or have much faith in to solve our problems. Last year, at least, had some reasons for optimism. ’24 has the elements to be terrible.

What would it take for the new year to exceed expectations? 1980 was dismal but ended on an upbeat note. Then, as now, we knew we were heading in the wrong direction. With the election of Ronald Reagan, the nation not only had a solid leader with excellent communication skills, but it began philosophical changes. Lydon Jphnson’s “Great Society” was founded on the conceit that the Government could cure all society’s problems. The “Best and the Brightest” had the answers. Economic theories such as Phillip’s Curve postulated inflation resulted in more employment, so high government spending is good.

The “Misery Index,” the sum of the current jobless and the inflation rates in 1980, hit a fantastic 21.98. Reagan scored by saying, “The nine most terrifying words in the English language are: I’m from the Government, and I’m here to help. ” The nation made a 180-degree Philosophical turn. Even when the Democrats returned to the White House after the Twelve Reagan and Bush years, Bill Clinton declared, The Eras of Big Government is over.” From 1980 to the end of the 20th century, it was “Morning in America.”

Could we be on the cusp of such profound change in ’24? There are leaders in three places at the forefront of the progressive movement, which, if they change direction, would indicate significant correction. The New York Times is the table setter for the rest of the “Mainstream media.” Themes and positions pushed by the Times echoed across media. Harvard is the pace-setter for Academia. California has long been the source of significant trends. All three are in the progressive vanguard. Revision in these would indicate change.

James Oakes, writing in the Jacobin, notes the Times wasn’t always this far out. On the 150th Civil War anniversary, the Paper ran a series of scholarly articles representing differing points of view, giving readers a well-rounded look at the era. He found it ” the ideal collaboration of journalism and scholarship.” 

Only a few years later, in 2019, the Paper published the error-filled “1619 Project.” Instead of a broad analysis of our nation’s founding, it presented a narrow, targeted look based on little or no factual research. Even in the face of devasting scholarly criticism, the Times continues to push this trash.

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Year-End Roundup ’23

It’s time to look back at ’23, which isn’t the best chore. My ideas were either ignored or only partially attempted. Russia’s Ukraine ’22 invasion not only fizzled but forced them to relinquish territory. Everyone was looking forward to the Ukrainian Summer Offensive to yield solid results, forcing the Russians to retreat. Meanwhile, pragmatists such as myself recommended right from the start training for and transferring aircraft to deny Russia any control of the air. Long-range weapons to strike bases and staging areas the Russians used to batter Ukrainian troops, civilians, and infrastructure are essential for success.

The summer offensive started without these necessities—no F16s or our old Warthogs, which might’ve given close air support. The Brits finally gave some long-range missiles, but only when the offense failed to make an early breakthrough. Imagine a U.S. attack on a well-dug-in enemy without air superiority and close support. In our Iraq wars, long-range missiles reached far beyond the battlefield to isolate. 

Yet, our military leaders expected breakthroughs and told everyone that the Ukrainians’ lack of significant success was a failure to follow their advice. Why would anyone follow Secretary of Defence Lloyd Austin, Secretary of State Anthony Blinken, and their minions? Their only military action of note is the disastrous Afgan withdrawal. Sacking the whole bunch in any other military is expected for less. Instead of making sure to the best of their ability, the brave Ukrainians had what they needed to succeed; they urged them forward when they had little chance of a breakthrough. 

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Facts or Feelings

Looking back on the debate between Governors DeSantis and Newsom dramatically illustrates the different approaches to problems between the two parties—successful outcomes vs. aspirations. Republicans expect leaders to tackle and solve issues, while it is enough for Democrats to propose.”virtuous” Solutions regardless of results.

Whether the challenge is COVID, crime, education, the economy, or anything else, DeSantis showed us his approach and level of success. On the other hand, Newsome aimed to exhibit that his heart was in the right place. They talked past each other because each was appealing to a different audience.

To those who believe schools should provide the essential reading and math skills for students to succeed in life, DeSantis points out Florida’s high standing. At the same time, Newsome complains Desantis is racist for not allowing progressive-preferred, if incorrect, history. 

No matter the subject, DeSantis or moderator Hannity presented facts showing better outcomes in Florida. Newsome went with what he claimed were DeSantis’ moral failures. 

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Friends

Thanksgiving is a time for friends and families to be happy to be with some and reflect on those unable to be with us. We value the people we can depend on and hope they find us dependable. This interaction forms much of our human relationships. This fact got me thinking about the relationships between nations. How good a friend are we at a national level? Could we be better?

The record is decidedly mixed. The Marshall Plan revived Europe. We befriended our enemies Germany and Japan with excellent results. The Anglosphere resembles a family. On the other hand, our efforts in Latin America have yet to do as well.

Since our fleeing Saigon Saigon, our loyalty and support for comrades in arms may give our friend pause. Many of those banking on our presence to ease the arduous progress to a modern democratic state in Afghanistan were left watching the last planes take off without them. 

Ukraine only started to receive military aid after Russia invaded. If delivered in a timely fashion, advanced armaments could’ve rocked the Russians.,but it’s only delivered late. F16 fighters are just now on the schedule. Abrams tanks have yet to see the battlefield. We’ve been acting slowly from day one. This reluctance leaves us to wonder if the U.S. wants victory for Ukraine. A long war favors the larger Russia.

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New High on the Anxiety Meter

In a month, we moved from trusting our neighbors to wondering what they were thinking. Could they be a threat? Jewish students at many of our leading Universities are asking the same about their classmates. With thousands of people marching and shouting anti-semitic cheers, we have never seen this level of anti-Jewish sentiment in our country since WWII.

The marchers also lump the U.S. and Israel as “colonizers.” Not exactly evidence of support for their own country. 

This tact comes at a time when millions have illegally crossed our southern border, many on the terror watch list. We have no idea how many bad actors are in the country. Remember, only 19 Al Qaeda terrorists caused the horrors of 9/11.

Now, we may have untold numbers of zealots operating in a sea of Hamas supporters. We have never faced a sizable fifth column favorable to those who want to harm us. It’s not if something horrible will happen, but when. Worse, it could be multiple actions. Anxiety reigns.

If you don’t think we have what amounts to a fifth column here, consider how many people adhere to the Hamas views. Across Academia, Media, and within government, we hear demands for a ceasefire that only helps Hamas. Even though caught lying in the past, most of our media accept Hamas’ casualty figures, both the number and composition, without question.

The latest Hamas figures claim 11,000 Gazans have died, the majority women and children. Of course, this paints the Israelis as monsters. However, does this add up? Consider before the Israelis even entered Northern Gaza, they warned civilians to move South out of the way of the fighting. 4 to 5 hundred thousand heeded the warning. The Population of Gaza City is around 600,000. As in any evacuation, the idea of women and children first should prevail. It’s what we saw in Ukraine, with non-combatants moving West. During the Blitz, 3 million children in “Operation Pied Piper'” moved from London and other cities to the countryside.

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