The debate unfolded as I had foreseen but with even more dramatic results. As anticipated, Biden’s performance that night revealed his vulnerabilities, leading to a swift abandonment by many of the party’s leaders and media supporters the following day. The critical difference is that Biden’s unsuitability was starkly exposed, prompting an immediate exodus. This outcome aligns with our suspicion of a plan to replace Joe with a candidate perceived as more competent at the top of the ticket. Nearly a year ago, in my post, ‘Why Republicans Lose,’ I outlined how, once Trump secured the Republican nomination, the Democrats would discard the weak old Joe and his baggage and nominate a fresh, younger candidate.
While some still resist the idea of a new ticket, their numbers are
thinning faster than those on Ozempic. The Democrats are not about to concede any election. As I’ve stated, for Democrats, politics is a blood sport, while for Republicans, it’s a pastime. Most Democrats rely on their ties to the state, whether directly or indirectly. They will seize any opportunity to win. With Biden, the best they can hope for is a lame duck for four years, and only if he manages to win.
A new ticket significantly enhances their chances of victory, and this triumph could pave the way for eight years of unchallenged dominance. Try convincing us again that the Democrats are standing by Joe. It’s only a matter of time before everyone realizes that replacing Biden was always part of the plan.
How else can you interpret the early debate before either convention? More than a month before the Democrats nominated their candidate, the nation witnessed Biden’s unsuitability. The revelation of how the Bidens agreed to this tragic mistake will be enlightening. The timing is just too perfect.
Joe Biden has no chance, sans a miracle, of winning re-election. Unless he’s delusional or Jill is making the decisions, the right thing to do for his party and legacy is to drop out. The idea of releasing his delegates to a contested convention to pick the ticket is disastrous. A vicious battle on the convention floor while progressive protestors are causing disruption outside could result in a rerun of the 1968 Democratic convention, The one resulting in a Nixon presidency.
Democrats must decide on a winning ticket before the convention begins. As a woman of color next in line to the presidency, Kamala Harris presents a unique challenge. She may be even more unelectable than her boss. The potential for offense is high, whether it’s a white woman alienating black voters or a white man insulting two constituencies in a party that sees everything in terms of affinity groups.
That leaves only one winning possibility: Michelle Obama. Strangely, this situation mirrors what I predicted for the 2020 Democratic nomination. I thought none of the then contestants would have enough delegates going into the convention, and the Democrats would turn to Michelle as a savior by acclimation. A sure loser, Bernie Sanders upset the scenario by jumping to a big lead. The terrified party stalwarts coalesced around Joe Biden to block the old socialist. This turn of events thwarted the planned Obama restoration. This time, Michelle should have the nomination wrapped up before the convention.
Fox News’ Dana Perino and many others claim Michelle hates politics and isn’t a possibility. Maybe she doesn’t like battling for a nomination, but couples having power in their prime have little history of turning their back on being at the top of the heap. Teddy Roosevelt came roaring back after four years out of office. The Clintons were back in the hunt with Hilliary after eight years. Grover Cleveland, the same age as Barack Obama, won back the presidency after four years.
Argentina has a history of wives of presidents. Isabel Peron, Christina Fernadez, and Nestor Kirchner followed their husbands as president. Catherine the Great of Russia pushed her husband out of the top job. History tells us power has an overpowering attraction.
Suddenly, we have an Axios article outlining Michelle Obama’s problems with the Bidens. Reportedly, she refused to campaign for Joe. Distancing oneself from a failing president is par for the course if you want to avoid the Biden baggage. It’s what you’d do if you were going for the top job.
Moderate Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro completes a strong ticket by increasing Democratic chances in a crucial state. What was once a tight race might bury Trump in a landslide.
The problem this presents for Trump is that this ticket has a broader appeal in a tight race. Trump has done good work appealing to Latinos and Blacks, but Michelle is likely to blunt this movement.
The ex-president has done little to attract independents and establishment Republicans. The ones who voted for Nikki Haley long after Trump secured the nomination have little reason to vote for Trump other than he isn’t Biden practicing lawfare against his opponents.
Of course, Trump could follow predecessors like JFK and Reagan, who strengthened the ticket and put their top opponent on it. Will Trump’s narcissism allow him to make a necessary countermove? As a proven competent leader, a strong debater, and a woman of color, Haley brings plusses others can’t match.
What is surprising is that the Trump camp doesn’t appear to be aware of the danger that a change in the Democratic ticket presents. The former president is barely winning over Joe. This shift is bound to add points to the Democrats. If not checked, Trump’s debate win is a Pyrrhic Victory.