My first thought after the election was how could so many voters chose to leave the Senate in Democratic hands and give the Republicans only a slim majority in the House. This outcome seemed to let the most inept administration since Buchanan off the hook. However, given a few weeks for reflection, my admiration for the electorate’s wisdom and precision has grown by leaps and bounds.
The expected Red Wave would’ve served as a solid rebuke of the Biden Administration and sent a message to shape up, but it never happened. Joe Biden is taking a victory lap. So how can this be a good thing?
If the Republicans swept the toss-up contests, especially in the Senate, Donald Trump would be the one crowing. The oddball candidates he backed in the primaries would be headed to D.C. The power of his endorsement led to electoral success. Those opposing him and his acolytes are doomed to failure.
Under those circumstances, Trump’s Presidential run announcement might have given pause to other contenders. Surrounded by newly elected Senators and Representatives owing their fortunes to “the Donald,” he’d appear formidable.
On the other hand, after suffering a massive rejection at the polls, Biden would be planning retirement rather than a re-election campaign. Possible younger ’24 Democratic candidates would be coming out of the woodwork.
The 2024 Presidential race pits an aging and increasingly erratic Donald Trump against a much younger Democrat. After Biden’s doddering performance, many people would favor someone in the prime of life. A big field with no clear leader may open the door for the formidable Michelle Obama. This prospect has to have more appeal than running an 82-year-old against a somewhat younger Trump or an able younger Republican.
Republicans running both houses of congress but accomplishing little in the face of Biden’s vetoes opens them up to Truman-like rants against a “do-nothing congress.”
As it turns out, Biden is unlikely to leave the “world’s biggest stage.” In his mind, the election validated his policies and those of his supporters. He still looks like he could beat the ex-president but no one else. Biden is strengthening his position by reordering the Democratic primaries by putting his strong states early. If he didn’t intend to run, why bother?
As most Republicans are pro-life, abortion wasn’t a deciding issue. With almost surgical skill, voters gave successful public servants but non-Trump acolytes solid victories. Those that carried the Trump torch, running on the same ticket, crashed and burned. One can only conclude they didn’t care for Trump’s antics and split their vote that way.
Instead of fronting a large group of loyal winners when he announced his ’24 run, Trump seemed lonely and pathetic. Rather than providing a path to victory, Trump is the kiss of death. Not the profile Republicans want to lead the part in ’24.
A Trump enemy possibly saving Trump’s pick is ironic. The Georgia Senate race illustrates how far Trump has fallen. If Herschel Walker wins, it would be because Georgia’s governor Brian Kemp put his organization behind him. The same Kemp Trump tried to destroy in the primaries. Whether Walker wins or loses, Trump is Humbled.
As I’ve pointed out previously, parties only exist to win elections. Just as sports teams only exist in pursuit of victory, they look for winners to put them on top. Nobody hires losers to head them. Trump’s overall record says loser.”
With the Republicans controlling only the House, no one expects them to do much. By controlling the House, the Republicans can thwart any Democratic legislation. With no real chance to pass meaningful legislation, the House can vote for solid Republican bills, knowing they aren’t going anywhere. Just statements such as supporting domestic energy and lower spending, looking towards ’24.
This situation leaves them plenty of time to pursue the House;’s oversight function. While there are multiple targets, the Hunter Biden Laptop is bound to get maximum scrutiny.
With Joe Biden, the likely ’24 Democratic candidate, revelations exposing him as a corrupt influence peddler aren’t going to add to his questionable stature.
A sizeable mob of Democratic media was able to suppress the story before the ’20 election, but an encore is unlikely. Probably, they’ll share Biden’s embarrassment.
A doddering corrupt lifelong politician ultimately may provoke Democrats to look elsewhere, but valuable time is lost. A bunch of possible alternative candidates jumping in just before the primaries could leave the Donkeys in disarray.
At the same time, the Trump balloon is rapidly descending. A legion of proven young capable Governors led by Florida’s Ron DeSantis is ready to send Trump into permanent Mar-a-Largo residence.
As we look toward the future, especially ’24, which looks to have a better lot? The Democrats will either have a compromised 82 yr old or a weak candidate surviving a divisive primary. After all, it’s not like Biden is popular now.
A younger reasonable candidate will most likely lead the Republicans. Add a much more favorable Senate map than ’22, and already controlling the House, an across-the-board win in’24 looks obtainable.
Of course, Trump might try to continue the fight by going the third-party route like Teddy Roosevelt, but this would take a lot of organization and money. The former isn’t Trump’s strong suit, and spending money is something he loathes. Just ask the candidates he endorsed in the last primaries. Are enough of his supporters left to send money to back a sure loser?
Maybe the ethically challenged Democrats will repeat their successful tactic of funding weak easier-to-beat candidates as they did in ’22—the Democrats monetarily supporting Trump, who they claim to despise.
Most likely, the “Maga” voters will thank Trump for his service but look elsewhere. Republican contenders have taken to heart his lessons on how to stand up to a very hostile press, but they also do it by being on solid ground.
In ’24, we may finally get someone you want to vote for rather than our usual bad choices. Give the voters credit—many split tickets to vote for the capable while shunning those failing to accept the ’20 election results. Give the voters a cheer.