Losers

Watching Florida Representative Mile Walsh explain why he was enthusiastically backing former President Trump, I was struck by the incoherence of his answer. While he conceded Ron DeSantis was a fine governor of his state, he indicated our problems were so severe that we needed someone to “hit the ground running.” We face many serious issues requiring solutions, but why would Trump be your choice? 

The first thing any candidate needs to do to effect change is get elected. How likely is Trump to return to the White House? Let’s look at possible scenarios. Even though most voters don’t want it, the nation expects the election to be a rerun of ’20 with Biden and Trump.

The latest polls show a statistical dead heat. everything is within the margin of error. Trump may have a slight edge. Even against the most unpopular president anyone can remember, Trump gains no distance. The public has about the same distaste for both.

For a moment, let’s assume Trump ekes out a ’16-type victory. Democrats are more successful in the latest gerrymandering, have a better ground game, and we have some poor Republican candidates, such as Kerry Lake, in Arizona; the Democrats will likely retain at least one house of Congress. Add the fact Trump is a lame duck on day one, and it’s hard to see him accomplishing much of anything, and this is the best Trump outcome. 

Trump’s legal problems may still hurt him, the economy improves, or both, and Biden wins. Given how close the polls this is entirely possible. Instead of making positive changes, we continue to march down the progressive road.

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Looking For Signs in ’24

Two hot wars where our support is needed to sustain our friends, an out-of-control border, rising crime, the continuing crisis in education, and declining disposable income for many Americans are some of the continuing problems we enter 2024. Add an election appearing to feature two Presidential candidates few want or have much faith in to solve our problems. Last year, at least, had some reasons for optimism. ’24 has the elements to be terrible.

What would it take for the new year to exceed expectations? 1980 was dismal but ended on an upbeat note. Then, as now, we knew we were heading in the wrong direction. With the election of Ronald Reagan, the nation not only had a solid leader with excellent communication skills, but it began philosophical changes. Lydon Jphnson’s “Great Society” was founded on the conceit that the Government could cure all society’s problems. The “Best and the Brightest” had the answers. Economic theories such as Phillip’s Curve postulated inflation resulted in more employment, so high government spending is good.

The “Misery Index,” the sum of the current jobless and the inflation rates in 1980, hit a fantastic 21.98. Reagan scored by saying, “The nine most terrifying words in the English language are: I’m from the Government, and I’m here to help. ” The nation made a 180-degree Philosophical turn. Even when the Democrats returned to the White House after the Twelve Reagan and Bush years, Bill Clinton declared, The Eras of Big Government is over.” From 1980 to the end of the 20th century, it was “Morning in America.”

Could we be on the cusp of such profound change in ’24? There are leaders in three places at the forefront of the progressive movement, which, if they change direction, would indicate significant correction. The New York Times is the table setter for the rest of the “Mainstream media.” Themes and positions pushed by the Times echoed across media. Harvard is the pace-setter for Academia. California has long been the source of significant trends. All three are in the progressive vanguard. Revision in these would indicate change.

James Oakes, writing in the Jacobin, notes the Times wasn’t always this far out. On the 150th Civil War anniversary, the Paper ran a series of scholarly articles representing differing points of view, giving readers a well-rounded look at the era. He found it ” the ideal collaboration of journalism and scholarship.” 

Only a few years later, in 2019, the Paper published the error-filled “1619 Project.” Instead of a broad analysis of our nation’s founding, it presented a narrow, targeted look based on little or no factual research. Even in the face of devasting scholarly criticism, the Times continues to push this trash.

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